News 9 Pollster Warns Early Election Polls Could Be Wrong

National pollsters will be anxiously watching to see if they got this election right or wrong and by how much as results start coming Tuesday night.

Tuesday, November 3rd 2020, 6:26 pm

By: Karl Torp


National pollsters will be anxiously watching to see if they got this election right or wrong and by how much as results start coming Tuesday night.

That includes News 9’s pollster.

SoonerPoll's Bill Shapard said he can envision the national polls being wrong again like they were in the 2016 presidential election.

“In this particular election, we do, I think, have a certain percentage of our population who supports Donald Trump, but because of the cancel culture and shaming on Facebook and other social medias, they are less likely to want to share their opinion,” said Shapard.

That includes sharing their opinion with a pollster.

Meanwhile, in the 5th Congressional District race, Shapard said undecided voters break with the challenger more than the incumbent.

He thinks Republican challenger Stephaine Bice has a slight advantage on Election Day over Democratic incumbent Kendra Horn.

His poll a week ago had Horn on top by less than 2% points.

Karl Torp

Karl Torp is an award-winning journalist who’s been part of the News 9 team since 2012. He co-anchors the 4 p.m., 5 p.m., 6 p.m. and 10 p.m. newscasts on weekdays. Karl loves telling Oklahoma’s unique stories, and he’s also a huge sports junkie. He loves to think of trades that would help the Oklahoma City Thunder win a World Championship (despite knowing little to nothing about salary caps and luxury taxes).

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