EXCLUSIVE POLL: Lankford Gains Lead Over Shannon Before Primary

Sunday, June 22nd 2014, 10:48 pm

By: News 9

James Lankford now has a lead over T.W. Shannon in a heated race to replace Sen. Tom Coburn, according to a News 9/News On 6 poll.

The poll, taken June 19-21, shows Lankford with 43.4 percent and Shannon with 34.9 percent, with 13.3 percent of likely Republican voters still undecided.

POLL RESULTS: Complete Republican Statewide Poll Results

The latest poll indicates Lankford has gained an eight point lead over Shannon since a May 5-10 News 9/News On 6 poll showed the two front-runners nearly tied.

5/14/2014 EXCLUSIVE POLL: James Lankford and T.W. Shannon Nearly Tied In U.S. Senate Primary

Five other candidates received support in the poll, including Randy Brogdon (4.2 percent), Jason Weger (1.5 percent), Kevin Crow (1.4 percent), Eric McCray (0.9 percent) and Andy Craig (0.4 percent).

A candidate needs to get more than 50 percent of the votes cast in the June 24 primary to avoid a runoff. The winner of the Republican primary will meet a Democrat and Independent challenger in the Nov. 4 general election.

POLL RESULTS: Complete Democrat Statewide Poll Results

There are three Democrats running to replace Sen. Coburn. Our latest poll shows Connie Johnson slightly ahead with 13.2 percent. Patrick Michael Hayes had 6.4 percent and Jim Rodgers had 5.4 percent. However, the largest number is the amount of undecided voters. The poll indicates three out of four likely Democrat voters, or 75.1 percent, are still undecided.

5/14/14 Related Story: EXCLUSIVE POLL:  Most Oklahoma Democrats Undecided In U.S. Senate Primary

About the Poll:

SoonerPoll conducted the surveys between June 19 and June 21. Respondents were selected at random using landlines and cell phones. Results were weighted by gender, age, cell phone/landline collection and Congressional district, then stratified using a model of previous primary elections. The Republican poll has a sample of 840 likely voters and a margin of error of plus or minus 3.38 percentage points. The Democrat poll has a sample size of 781 likely voters and a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.


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