David Payne's 2018 Spring Forecast: Tornado Season

<p>Spring is just around the corner and it's time for my spring forecast for 2018.</p>

Wednesday, March 14th 2018, 11:42 pm

By: News 9, David Payne

Spring is just around the corner and it's time for my spring forecast for 2018.

Let's look back at 2017, when we were forecasting above average tornadoes. In Oklahoma, there were 72 tornadoes last spring. The average for spring is 47 tornadoes. In just the month of May 2017, we had 57 tornadoes in the state.

This past winter was heavily influenced by a weak La Nina pattern. It was cold and wet to our north and east. In Oklahoma, we did have some cold snaps, but it was a dry winter until we got into February.

La Niña will now weaken and fade away, but the effects will linger into spring.

Looking at past weak La Niña springs, those years we saw an average of 21 percent less tornadoes than the average spring.

For the 2018 spring forecast, I think we will see average precipitation across most of the state. As far as temperatures this spring, we are looking at above average.

Drought continues for the west and far northwest. We could see slightly above average tornadoes for March and April, but likely below average for May and June.

Overall, I think we see a below average count on tornadoes and summer arrives early.


Get The Daily Update!

Be among the first to get breaking news, weather, and general news updates from News 9 delivered right to your inbox!

More Like This

March 14th, 2018

April 24th, 2018

November 16th, 2017

November 17th, 2016

Top Headlines

July 15th, 2024

July 15th, 2024

July 14th, 2024

July 14th, 2024