Tuesday, April 22nd 2025, 1:18 pm
Mostly pleasant weather is expected today with sunshine and afternoon highs reaching the upper 70s and lower 80s. South winds will be likely at 10 to near 15 mph with a few gusts near 20 mph. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop across the southern Plains the next few days as a few mostly weak disturbances move through the region, with rain chances continuing into the weekend.
A stronger system early next week may bring an increased risk of severe weather as upper-level winds strengthen and moisture returns.
The upper air flow will remain relatively weak over the southern Plains for the next few days, with several small disturbances moving through the region resulting in scattered showers and thunderstorms. With no well-defined surface boundaries or strong upper-level forcing, rain and thunderstorm probabilities will be modestly spread across the area starting Wednesday and increasing Thursday and Friday.
Later this afternoon and early evening, scattered showers and storms will develop across eastern New Mexico, western Texas, and southwestern Oklahoma. Severe weather threats will stay west of our immediate area.
Late tonight into early Wednesday morning, some of these storms may attempt to move eastward before weakening as a weak disturbance moves across the area from west to east.
Additional scattered showers or storms will be possible Wednesday, though not in all locations. Wednesday morning lows will be in the mid-to-upper 50s, with daytime highs reaching the upper 70s to lower 80s under mostly to partly cloudy conditions. South winds will remain from 10 to 15 mph.
Wednesday night into early Thursday morning, another disturbance will move through southern Kansas, potentially triggering a small cluster of thunderstorms that may reach northern Oklahoma either late Wednesday evening or most likely, early Thursday morning.
While organized severe weather is unlikely, a few storms could produce strong, gusty winds and locally heavy rain. Thursday morning temperatures will start in the lower 60s, with highs remaining in the mid-70s.
By Friday, a weak surface cold front is expected to move across the area, bringing another round of scattered showers and storms, mostly Friday morning through midday.
Friday morning temperatures will begin in the lower 60s, with highs in the mid-70s. The weekend will remain unsettled due to the upper air pattern, with lingering chances for showers and storms.
Saturday morning lows will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s, with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 70s.
By late this weekend, the upper air flow will shift from the southwest and strengthen as a developing upper-level trough in the Pacific Northwest causes pressure to fall near and east of the Rockies.
This will lead to stronger southerly winds, increasing low-level moisture and creating conditions more favorable for severe weather threats early next week.
The daily morning weather podcast briefing will remain on hold indefinitely due to ongoing internal workflow issues.
We're working to resolve these challenges as soon as possible and appreciate your patience. We apologize for the inconvenience and hope to be back soon. Thank you for your understanding.
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April 22nd, 2025
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April 22nd, 2025