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CBO: 22 Million More Would Be Without Health Insurance Over Next Decade Under Senate Bill

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Twenty-two million more people would be without health insurance over the next decade under Senate Republicans' plan to repeal and replace Obamacare, according to an analysis released Monday by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.

The cost estimate comes days before the Senate is expected to vote on the measure before lawmakers leave Washington for their week-long July 4 recess. And even with the clock ticking, leadership has not secured enough votes yet to pass it.

They need 51 votes to pass the 142-page measure, which means they need at least 50 senators to support it, with Vice President Mike Pence as the tie-breaking vote. Assuming all Democrats vote against the bill, more than three Republican "no" votes would kill the legislation. Five Senate Republicans have so far publicly said they oppose the current form: Ted Cruz of Texas, Mike Lee of Utah, Rand Paul of Kentucky, Dean Heller of Nevada and Ron Johnson of Wisconsin. Johnson and Heller have suggested it will be challenging to persuade them to vote in favor.

Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, who has expressed strong concerns about the measure, had been waiting for the CBO score before making a decision about her position.

Under the House-passed health care bill, which slightly differs from the Senate's version, 23 million more people would be without health insurance over the next decade, CBO projected in an analysis released on May 24. 

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